Service Plays Thursday 6/2/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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GL!

 

[goldencontender]

GC MLB Play

Thursday 2 Big Plays the 96% MLB Totals System of the Week and the NBA Triple System Game 2 Finals Winner. MLB Free System side below

On Thursday the MLB System Play is on the New York Mets. Game 952 at 1:10 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play on home favorites off a home favored loss by 5 or more runs if they scored 4 or less runs on 10+ hits with a total that was 8 or less, vs a road team that is off a road win by 5 or more runs. The Mets are 3-1 this season at home off 2 home losses with all 3 wins by 3 or more runs. The Pirates are 0-4 on the road off 2 road wins. New York has won 8 of 10 here vs the Pirates and 8 of 11 as a home favorite from -100 to -125. The Pitching also favors the Mets here. They have a rejuvenated M. Pelfrey on the mound today and he has a superb 2.08 home ERA and has allowed 4 runs in 15 innings both wins in his last 2 starts vs the Pirates. Pittsburgh counters with P. Malholm. Though he has been better on the road this season the Pirates have still lost 4 of his 5 road starts this season and he has allowed a horrific 20 runs in 12 innings in his last 3 starts vs the Mets. He has lost 6 of 7 starts as a dog this season as well. Look for the Mets to get the final game of this series. On Thursday I have the 96% MLB System total of the week and a Triple System NBA Game 2 Finals winner on the card. For the Bonus Play take the Mets. GC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mavericks at Heat Game 2: What Bettors Need To Know

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 186)
Miami Leads Series 1-0

THE STORY: The opening game of the NBA Finals couldn't have gone much worse for the Dallas Mavericks. They dropped a 92-84 decision to the Heat in Game 1 and will now have to deal with an injury to their star player as they prepare for Game 2 Thursday night in Miami.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC, TSN

ABOUT THE HEAT: While Game 1 featured strong play from Miami's Big Three, it was actually a series of big 3s that led the Heat to victory. With the game still in doubt entering the fourth, Mike Miller hit a 3-pointer early in the quarter to give the Heat a five-point edge. Wade knocked down a 3 to quell a Dallas rally with 3:05 remaining, and LeBron James converted a three-point play on Miami's next possession to put the game away. James, Wade and Chris Bosh were especially dominant on the glass, where they pulled down 28 of the Heat's 46 rebounds on the night. Bosh had five offensive boards, just one fewer than the entire Mavericks roster.

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS: Dallas' quest to win its first NBA title took a hit when star forward Dirk Nowitzki suffered a torn tendon in the middle finger of his non-shooting hand. All parties downplayed the significance of the injury, but Nowitzki will have to wear a splint for the rest of the series and may find defending or setting up shots more difficult. The Mavericks may have more pressing concerns; specifically, how to avoid a repeat of their dismal effort in Game 1. Dallas shot a playoff-low 37 percent from the field and allowed the Heat to win the rebounding battle by ten. The Mavericks bench was a major liability, shooting just 4 for 22 from the field.

WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: James was efficient in Game 1, making 9 of 16 shots from the field - including four of five long-range attempts. Mavericks G J.J. Barea, a major part of the Mavericks' success against Oklahoma City in the conference final, shot just 1 for 8 Tuesday.

KEY STATISTIC: 11 - The number of 3-pointers the Heat made in Tuesday's win. That was the most allowed by the Mavericks all postseason. They come into Game 2 averaging fewer than five 3s against for the playoffs.

TRENDS:

* Mavericks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Miami.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

LAST WORD: "I have to wear a splint probably for the rest of the playoffs, for a couple of weeks. But it will be all right." - Nowitzki on his finger injury.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Thursday’s Best NBA Bets

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 186)

Someone must have left the hen house door open because loud Chicken Little rants were the only words coming out from the mouths of NBA analysts.

Yes, the sky must be falling for Maverick backers. Dallas is down 1-0 in its series against Miami, but it feels like Mark Cuban’s boys are a game away from being swept 4-0.

We’re not buying all this hysteria.

Sure, there were some concerning numbers from Tuesday’s boxscore. Miami outrebounded Dallas badly, particularly on the offensive glass. And yes, the Mavs lost despite limiting LeBron James and Dwyane Wade to seven combined free throw attempts.

But let’s not pretend like that was the best Dallas has got – I mean, Jason Terry didn’t even score in the second half. The Western Conference champs are going to start hitting open jumpers and Miami’s defense isn’t going to look as airtight.

"Offensively, that was a disaster for us," Terry told reporters after the game.

Expect Dallas’ offense to get back on track and the Mavs to leave Miami with the NBA Finals all knotted up at a game apiece.

PICK: Mavericks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Thursday's Double Play
By Judd Hall

Hockey and basketball might be in the midst of their championship series, but there is plenty of action to be had on the diamond. We’ve got seven games on the agenda in Major League Baseball. Let’s take a look at a pair of contests that will keep you busy at the betting shops.

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians (-145, 9.5)

We’re inching closer to the dog days of the season, which means that teams at the top can ill-afford to falter in these series. That especially rings true for both the Indians (five games ahead of Detroit) and the Rangers (½-game lead on Seattle).

The early reports are for Texas to send Matt Harrison (5-4, 3.26) to the mound for the opening game of this series. It’s a great time for the Rangers to put the lefty on the mound because he hasn’t allowed a run in his last 16.1 innings of work, winning his last two starts. There is some concern that Harrison won’t be making the start as he’s nursing a blister on his left index finger. That could put either David Bush or Michael Kirkman on the mound for the spot start. Oddly enough, that could be blessing for Harrison to miss this start since he is 0-2 with a 5.06 earned run average for his career against Cleveland.

Carlos Carrasco (4-2, 4.91) gets the start for the Indians on Thursday night. Gamblers that have backed him recently are cashing in nicely as he has won his last three starts. That includes a win as a $1.85 road pup at Tampa Bay last Friday. This is his first start against Texas since 2009. Carrasco gave up five runs in five innings of an 11-9 loss at home in that outing.

The Rangers have had a stranglehold on the Tribe recently, having won nine of the last 11 head-to-head meetings. The ‘under’ is 6-5 in those contests.

San Francisco Giants at Saint Louis Cardinals (-160, 7)

I know that the baseball season is more of a marathon than it is a sprint, but the Giants are pulling up lame no matter the analogy. Prior to Wednesday’s contest, San Francisco has lost six of its last eight games. That slump, couple with Arizona’s hot streak, have the Giants in second place in the National League West.

San Francisco will aim to close out this series with a win on the left arm of Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 3.37). Sanchez has not had a decision in his last two starts, but the numbers were worthy of wins both times. He gave up three earned runs on seven hits in 13 innings of work. The problem for Sanchez has been the lack of offensive support he’s getting. In his Giants’ last three losses with Sanchez on this hill, they’ve scored just two runs twice and three runs in the other defeat. There is a positive for him in that he is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in four career appearances against St. Louis.

The Cardinals will be a tough out in this contest with Jaime Garcia (5-1, 3.28) taking the mound. Garcia may have looked like a bum in his last start against at Colorado (3.1 IP, 11 ER on 11 H), but that’s awfully misleading. St. Louis had won his last four starts prior to the beatdown to the Rockies, giving up four earned runs combined. The Cards can take solace in the fact that Garcia is 3-0 with an ERA of 0.29 at Busch Stadium this season. He also boasts a 1.50 ERA and nine strikeouts in his lone start against the Giants in 2011. It just so happens that the Cardinals fell 3-2 on this road in that game back on April 9.

St. Louis has not been bad this year at home against lefties, evidenced by a 6-3 mark with the ‘under’ going 6-3 as well. The Giants are nearly as effective away from AT&T Park against southpaws, going 6-4 for the season. The ‘under’ is also 7-3 during those games for San Fran, making a low-scoring tilt a distinct possibility.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians (-145, 9.5)

The Texas Rangers proved us wrong by getting the best of a hot David Price and his Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday and this club looks to be in a good spot to keep their roll going against the Indians.

Texas has won nine of its last 11 meetings against the Tribe and what’s encouraging about this team is that it’s starting to win games even when its lethal offense has an off day, or in Wednesday’s case, runs into a tough pitcher.

The Rangers made the most of their six hits against Tampa Bay with Nelson Cruz leading the way with three of those while Elvis Andrus chipped in with an RBI double in the eighth.

They’re up against Carlos Carrasco, who is 3-0 in his last three outings, but far from unhittable. He owns a 4.91 ERA and has just 32 strikeouts compared to 16 walks.

David Bush goes for the Rangers, looking to make an impression after spending the last three weeks in the bullpen. Hopefully the bats will give him some help.

PICK: Rangers


Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks (-125, 9)

After a two-month delay to his Diamondbacks debut, Zach Duke proved he was well worth the wait.

Duke fired seven shutout innings while giving up just three hits in an 11-3 win at Houston, striking out four and walking one.

"I was able to get into a good rhythm early on and really pound the zone with my sinker, and that got me a lot of ground balls," Duke told reporters following the win. "The sinker was really good, got some outs with changeups and threw a couple of good curveballs as well. So, really, there wasn't anything that wasn't really on. I left a couple of cutters up, but that's about it."

If that wasn’t enough, he also swatted his first career homer, a three-run shot in the fourth inning. So all in all, a pretty decent day at the office.

Duke’s always had talent despite some terrible numbers last season. Maybe he just needed a change of scenery after spending the first six seasons of his career with the Pirates.

PICK: Diamondbacks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday’s Betting Notes: Sharapova Hot On Clay

Who’s Hot

NBA: The road team is 10-2-1 against the spread in the last 13 meetings between Miami and Dallas.

MLB: The over is 8-1-1 in the Mets’ last 10 overall.

MLB: Arizona is riding a 15-3 streak.

Who’s Not

NBA: The under is just 1-7 against the spread in the last eight games that Miami’s been favored.

MLB: Seattle is 2-8 in its last 10 meetings with the Tampa Bay Rays.

MLB: Kansas City has won two of its last 10 overall.

Key Stat

10-0: By advancing to the French Open semifinals, Maria Sharapova has now won her last 10 matches on clay. She won on the dirt in Rome before heading to Paris and it's clear the 24-year-old has come a long way since describing herself as a “crow on ice” when playing on clay four years ago. She’s set around -220 against Na Li in the semifinal and is now pegged as the favorite to win the tournament now at +110.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Mike Miller, Miami Heat: Miller left Tuesday’s Game 1 victory over the Dallas Mavericks with about four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter and didn’t return after aggravating his left shoulder injury. He has his arm in a sling following the game but said that he didn’t think “it was a big deal.” Miller has been a force on the glass for Miami lately while spreading the floor with his outside shooting.

Game Of The Day

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 186.5)

Notable Quotable

"As a kid you dream about winning majors and winning tournaments, but for me, I always kept an eye out on the world rankings and had an interest in it. The way the world rankings are, consistency is very highly weighted. If you can keep playing well week in and week out, keep earning those points, then you're going to climb in the world rankings and I don't think there's anybody been more consistent in the last nine months than me." – Luke Donald on becoming the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world earlier this week. He looks to defend that title as a +800 favorite to win this weekend’s Memorial, beginning Thursday.

Tips And Notes

Thursday is an off day for the men’s singles before Friday’s semifinals, but despite the fact that Novak Djokovic faces off against veteran Roger Federer, Djokovic is now favored to win the tournament at -105. Rafael Nadal, who has struggled throughout the competition, is now set as the second favorite at +135.

The St. Louis Cardinals saw two major pieces of their puzzle hit the DL on Wednesday. Kyle McClellan (6-2, 3.86 ERA, +5.90 units), who has been among the top MLB money pitchers all season, is on the shelf with a left hip flexor strain that he picked up on Monday and will likely be out of action for about three weeks. Meanwhile, Matt Holliday is also on the 15-day DL after trying to play through a nagging quad injury. He has six homers and 31 RBIs on the year.

The Vancouver Canucks could be without forward Alex Burrows after he appeared to bite Patrice Bergeron’s finger during a scrum at the end of the first period in Game 1. Burrows, who rides shotgun to Daniel and Henrik Sedin on Vancouver’s top line, may be in for a disciplinary hearing with the NHL’s Brendan Shanahan, who just took over the role vacated by Colin Campbell. The Canucks and Bruins square off for Game 2 Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 853-373 (.696)
ATS: 641-637 (.502)
ATS Vary Units: 1513-1496 (.503)
Over/Under: 663-633 (.512)
Over/Under Vary Units: 794-770 (.508)

NBA Finals
Game 2, best-of-7
MIAMI 95, Dallas 91

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Dallas at Miami

The Mavericks look to bounce back from their loss in Game 1 and build on their 7-1-1 ATS record in their last 9 road games. Dallas is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">THURSDAY, JUNE 2
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 703-704: Dallas at Miami (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 127.406; Miami 125.509
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4 1/2); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Seattle

The Rays look to build on their 5-0 record in James Shields' last 5 road starts. Tampa Bay is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">THURSDAY, JUNE 2
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.336; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.438
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 953-954: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.985; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.485
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+150); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 955-956: Washington at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.826; Arizona (Duke) 14.872
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 957-958: Houston at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.513; San Diego (Stauffer) 15.699
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-130); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 959-960: Texas at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Bush) 15.211; Cleveland (Carrasco) 16.901
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-135); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 961-962: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Swarzak) 14.716; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.076
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 963-964: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.994; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.032
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 5px;" width="522">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo, who specializes in late losses, saw it hap pen again last night with the Brewers, who gave it up in the eighth to boost the deficit to 1,280 buhners.

Tonight, let's strike up the band for the one and only Jimmy Shields -- 10 units on the Rays to give King Felix a royal pounding.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Thursday

Nationals +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

651 - 493 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Bonus Play THURS Dallas Mav's + 4 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Padres -130 over Astros

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Mavs + Heat OVER 187

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

At.Tucuman + ClubFerroCO UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Mavs + Heat OVER 187

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Mavericks
Mets
Rays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 10 runs bet. Kansas City and Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Write-Up


Thursday, June 2

Bad news for Dallas, besides Nowitzki's finger injury, is fact that Heat, other than James/Wade, were just 13-45 from floor in Game 1; Bosh will not go 5-18 every game and he gets open shots. Heat is now 9-0 at home in playoffs, Dallas has won five of last six on road. Miami is 6-3 against spread as a playoff home favorite. Dallas bench shot 4-22 from floor in Game 1; they won games in Thunder series when bench provided some scoring punch. 37% shooting with only six offensive rebounds usually adds up to a loss at any level of basketball. Will be interesting to see the adjustments each coach makes for this game.